A sharp drop in concerns about energy prices pushed investor optimism in August to 74, the highest level in the five previous months, according to the UBS/Gallup index of investor optimism. The level is 21 points higher than a year earlier: it reached a 53-point low in August 2005.
Investors who believe energy prices are hurting the investment climate "a lot" dropped from 78% in August to 63% in September. This is the lowest level of investor concern about energy costs since February 2005 when 56% held this view, UBS and Gallup report. About 80% felt this way in October 2005, which is when both oil and natural gas prices were pushed up by Gulf of Mexico hurricane damage to production and other facilities.
This past August, investors expected the average price of a gallon of regular gasoline to reach $3.30 in the next three months; in September, the forecast was a much lower $2.76.
Mike Ryan, head of UBS' wealth management research, Americas, says, "This sharp rise in optimism demonstrates the significant degree to which high energy prices affect investor sentiment-both with regard to the potential impact upon growth as well as the threat of higher inflation. We therefore expect that lower energy prices will also positively influence consumer confidence in the future."
Investors appear to believe that the U.S. economy is headed towards a "soft landing," UBS and Gallup report. About 51% of investors in September described current economic conditions as showing signs of an economic slowdown, while 38% say the economy is experiencing a recovery or an economic expansion. About 10% believe the economy is in a recession.
Recommended Reading
LNG Tanker Docks at Venture Global’s Plaquemines LNG Terminal
2024-11-18 - The FERC recently gave Venture Global’s Plaquemines LNG facility permission to use natural gas.
What's Affecting Oil Prices This Week? (Nov. 18, 2024)
2024-11-18 - For the upcoming week, the price of Brent crude could test its support at $70 and if the price breaks below this level, the price of Brent could fall to $66.
E&Ps Capitalize on AI Surge with NatGas Investments, But Volatility Expected
2024-11-15 - EOG, Diamondback and Gulfport Energy remain optimistic—despite recent near-term volatility—and are doubling down on natural gas investments in order to meet growing energy demands.
Baker Hughes: US Drillers Cut Oil, Gas Rigs for First Time in Four Weeks
2024-11-15 - U.S. energy firms this week cut the number of oil and natural gas rigs operating for the first time in four weeks.
US NatGas Storage Levels Back in Record Territory
2024-11-14 - The U.S. Energy Information Administration’s weekly report shows a 42 Bcf increase of natural gas in storage, matching expectations.
Comments
Add new comment
This conversation is moderated according to Hart Energy community rules. Please read the rules before joining the discussion. If you’re experiencing any technical problems, please contact our customer care team.