On track to close a blockbuster $17.1 billion acquisition of Marathon Oil before year-end, ConocoPhillips reported record Lower 48 output in third-quarter 2024.

Houston-based ConocoPhillips’ third-quarter production averaged 1.147 MMboe/d across its Lower 48 footprint, the company reported Oct. 31.

That includes record production of 781,000 boe/d from the Permian and record Eagle Ford volumes of 246,000 boe/d, Nick Olds, ConocoPhillips’ Lower 48 executive vice president, said during an earnings call. Bakken volumes averaged 107,000 boe/d.

“We’ve seen more feet per day, more stages per day,” Olds said. “In fact, in 3Q in the Delaware Basin, we had a best-ever feet per day for that entire quarter within the program.”

In the Midland Basin, ConocoPhillips saw “strong performance” from several 3-mile lateral wells during the third quarter, he said.

ConocoPhillips is getting a huge lift across its Lower 48 position through the acquisition of Houston-based Marathon Oil. ConocoPhillips will also assume $5.4 billion in Marathon debt.

The companies still anticipate closing the transaction during the fourth quarter.

ConocoPhillips aims to drive significant synergies by combining the two portfolios; company guidance is to achieve over $500 million in annual synergy cost savings within a year of closing the Marathon deal.

The Marathon acquisition will add another 2,000 drilling locations to the combined portfolio. Roughly half of the new inventory is in the Eagle Ford Shale of South Texas, where Marathon and ConocoPhillips are both top producers.

COP MRO Eagle Ford Map
The ConocoPhillips and Marathon Oil combination would yield a premier Eagle Ford operator with pro forma production expected to average 380,000 boe/d. (Source: ConocoPhillips investor presentation)

The deal will also combine the two companies’ smaller inventories in the Bakken and in the Permian’s Delaware Basin.

The companies see additional upside from reworking the combined drilling and efract programs at the asset level, said Andy O’Brien, senior vice president of strategy, commercial, sustainability and technology, for ConocoPhillips.

Compared to its 2024 capital spend, ConocoPhillips plans to reduce the combined development program by at least $500 million in 2025.

The reductions will come primarily from the Eagle Ford and the Bakken, O’Brien said.

“We're confident in our ability to achieve an optimal plateau level at lower levels of activities versus as standalone companies,” he said. “Simply put, we need fewer rigs and fewer frac crews to achieve the same outcome.”

Recompletion projects, or so-called refracs, are becoming more topical in mature basins like the Eagle Ford and Bakken, where early horizontal wells were drilled without modern technologies and a decade-plus of shale learnings.

ConocoPhillips has been using refrac techniques on its own Eagle Ford asset for some time to expand its drilling inventory.

A growing number of producers are leaning toward refracs, re-entries, recompletions and other re-do jobs underground to breathe new life into declining wells.


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Chopping block

After acquiring Marathon’s net debt, ConocoPhillips aims to deleverage by divesting $2 billion of non-core assets over the next several years.

Rumors are swirling that the company is marketing a package of Delaware Basin assets that could fetch over $1 billion.

The package includes 55,000 net acres. Production is estimated to reach around 17,000 boe/d by year-end.

Executives declined to address the reports but said ConocoPhillips is confident it can hit the $2 billion disposition target.

“Activities are well underway on multiple disposition candidates at this stage,” O’Brien said.

MRO COP Permian Delaware Map.jpg
ConocoPhillips expects to have 800,000 net Delaware Basin acres by combining with Marathon Oil. (Source: ConocoPhillips investor presentation)

In addition to reducing debt, ConocoPhillips is appeasing investors by raising its ordinary dividend by 34% to $0.78 per share.

ConocoPhillips distributed $2.1 billion to shareholders during the third quarter, including $1.2 billion in share repurchases and $900,000 through the ordinary dividend and variable return of cash.

Share buybacks will approach $2 billion in the fourth quarter, ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance said.


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